Identifying high-frequency shocks with Bayesian mixed-frequency VARs

نویسندگان

چکیده

We contribute to research on mixed-frequency regressions by introducing an innovative Bayesian approach. impose a Normal-inverse Wishart prior adding set of auxiliary dummies in estimating Mixed-Frequency VAR. Based this new “high-frequency” identification scheme, we illustrate our method identifying uncertainty shock for the U.S. economy. As main findings, document “temporal aggregation bias” when adopt common low-frequency model instead framework. The bias is amplified case large mismatching between high-frequency and business cycle variables.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Social Science Research Network

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['1556-5068']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3793335